Company dossier

Rubrik

Recovery now reaches beyond stored data to the identities and AI agents that can change it.

RBRK NYSE SaaS
Coverage intelligence, not investment advice — the gauge is narrative balance (measured), never a call.
The Trade
short-narrativelong-narrative
0/3 constructive

The read The lens panel is still filling — see The Brains.

Cyber Resilience ▲ financial -100pts
30-day tape +6.6% EOD delayed
This week 0 quiet · nothing in 7d
Rubrik coverage signal: magenta bars show articles per quarter and the blue line shows share price
Rubrik coverage volume against price. Coverage data from TEXXR; price is EOD and delayed. Data through 2026-10-22.

The argument

The tape · quarterly coverage amplitude · live quarter blinking

Rubrik addresses a hard limit of prevention: a company still needs to recover when an attacker gets through or its own software makes a destructive change. Its latest financial release describes a platform spanning data, identity and AI operations. Those are different tasks. Restoring a clean database does not by itself remove a stolen identity, and restoring an identity does not govern the next action an agent takes. The company’s expansion makes sense only if customers can use those pieces together.

The existing business provides a base for that effort. In the quarter ended July 31, 2026, revenue grew 38% to $427.3 million, while subscription annual recurring revenue, or ARR, grew 33% to $1.66 billion. Cloud ARR rose 39% to $1.48 billion. But some cloud growth comes from moving existing customers into hosted products. Rubrik’s adjusted measure, which strips migrations from new cloud ARR, grew 20%. It is a better check on fresh demand than treating every migration as a newly won workload.

Revenue also needs an accounting check. The same release identifies $4.7 million of material-rights revenue in the quarter, against $14.2 million a year earlier. Normalizing for that effect yields 43% growth. Neither figure should replace the other without explanation: reported growth describes the accounts; the normalized measure helps explain the underlying comparison. The product case should survive both views.

Rubrik: coverage volume and how the record frames it
Rubrik: coverage volume and how the record frames it

The IPO record made Rubrik’s shift from data management to security visible through its finances. Its April 2024 IPO filing coverage paired roughly $628 million of annual revenue with a $354 million loss. The first post-IPO earnings report then showed subscription ARR of $856.1 million, up 46%. Revenue and recurring contracts told different parts of the transition. The question was whether a growing subscription base could support a business still spending heavily to build and sell its platform.

The next change involved AI capability rather than a new description of backup. Rubrik agreed to acquire Predibase in June 2025. That deal brought tools for deploying AI models. It did not, on its own, prove demand for a new Rubrik product. The clearer milestone came on February 18, 2026, when Agent Cloud became generally available. The offering combines agent inventory, rules for prompts and tool calls, and recovery from unwanted actions.

Agent Rewind ties that new product to Rubrik’s prior work. The GA product note describes matching an agent’s destructive action to an earlier healthy copy of the affected data. This is a narrower and more useful claim than a promise to make all agents safe. It depends on knowing what changed, keeping recoverable data and restoring the right state. A security rule may stop an action before it happens; a recovery tool needs evidence after it happens.

On August 4, Rubrik added Agent Identity. The new controls scope access to individual tool calls, use short-lived credentials, and connect with Okta and Microsoft Entra ID. This extends recovery toward permission checks at the moment of action. The July-quarter release also identifies new identity capabilities following the Strata acquisition: restoring identity services while preserving legitimate changes, and switching to another identity provider when the main one fails.

That is a real change in product scope. It is not yet a separately measured AI revenue business. The financial release discloses aggregate subscription growth and product launches, without a material Agent Cloud revenue line. The sound reading is that Rubrik has shipped tools and has an existing customer base to sell them to. The contribution of those new tools to overall growth remains a question for later reports.

The signature: Rubrik coverage volume against price
The signature: Rubrik coverage volume against price

The spectrogram

financial acquisition drift 24Q124Q225Q2

Signal decomposition · what the record is made of, by quarter · brightness = share of edges · drift = how far the story moved in meaning

In 2024Q1 the record was 100% financial; by 2025Q2 it is 100% acquisition. A price chart shows what a name did; the spectrogram shows what its story is made of.

Who tells it · top-3 hold 68%
TechCrunch 6
Bloomberg 6
CNBC 5
Reuters 3
Fortune 2
ZDNet 1

The brains

Panel not seated

Fewer than the full panel of lenses have read this name. The gauge shows n/3 until it fills.

the lenses →

The machine

The October 22, 2026 TEXXR pull returned 30 Rubrik edges across 22 distinct first-seen dates. The same-day CoreWeave pull returned 291 total edges, including one undated, across 103 distinct first-seen dates. These are graph relationships, not unique articles. Rubrik’s record has enough dates to show a sequence, but much of its financial detail clusters around the IPO. The April 2–3, 2024 records include listing plans, revenue, recurring contracts and shareholders. Several rows can describe one filing, and the two Bloomberg corpus entries point to the same original report.

Later edges mark a shift toward capability and expansion. The June 2025 Predibase edge connects Rubrik to AI-model deployment. Two July 9, 2026 edges record a planned UK investment and London headquarters, drawn from one Reuters report. They are two relationships from one announcement, not two independent signs of growth. A recent personnel reference to Rubrik in another startup’s story adds still less evidence about Rubrik’s current products. Reading the rows limits what the count can claim.

Rubrik fits the cyber resilience theme through recovery and continuity. Its connection to Zscaler is partly complementary: one can limit access to an application while the other preserves a path back to a clean state. Agent Identity also moves Rubrik nearer to access control. The relevant boundary is whether a tool prevents misuse, detects it or repairs the result. Product names alone do not tell a reader which job customers have paid to solve.

Key counterparties — top by shared coverage
IPO 4Cloud 4Ari Levy 3Facebook 3NYSE IPO 3Lightspeed 3
Key products
RBRKRubrik and VMware
Avon Puri personnel Rubrik
Avon Puri previously led infrastructure at Rubrik.
confirmed #487823
Rubrik financial United Kingdom
Rubrik plans to invest over $500M in the United Kingdom over the next five years.
confirmed #407066
Rubrik launch London
Rubrik plans to establish its European headquarters in London.
confirmed #407067
Rubrik acquisition Predibase
Rubrik agrees to acquire Predibase, a startup that helps deploy AI models.
confirmed #74318
Rubrik financial ARR $856.1M, YoY +46%
Rubrik reports annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $856.1M, up 46% year-over-year, disclosed in its first post-IPO earnings.
confirmed #43587
Rubrik financial Q1 revenue $187.3M, YoY +38%, est. $171.5M
Rubrik reports Q1 revenue of $187.3M, up 38% year-over-year and above the $171.5M estimate, in its inaugural post-IPO earnings report.
confirmed #43586
Rubrik financial NYSE
Rubrik closes up 16% at $37 per share in its NYSE debut.
confirmed #237520
Rubrik financial
Rubrik previously raised $752M at a $5.6B valuation.
confirmed #237521
Rubrik financial NYSE IPO, $32 per share, $752M raised, $5.6B valuation
Rubrik priced its NYSE IPO at $32 per share (above the expected $28–$31 range), raising $752M and valuing the company at $5.6B.
confirmed #21844
Rubrik financial 23M shares, $28-$31 per share, up to $713M raised, $5.4B valuation
Rubrik plans to sell 23 million shares at $28–$31 each, raising up to $713M and targeting a $5.4B valuation.
confirmed #20972
Rubrik financial
Rubrik reports a net loss of $354M on revenue of $628M for the year ended January 31.
confirmed #237639
Rubrik financial NYSE, RBRK
Rubrik files for a NYSE IPO under the ticker RBRK.
confirmed #237638

The money

Rubrik fundamentals: revenue, free cash flow, EBITDA, capex
Rubrik fundamentals: revenue, free cash flow, EBITDA, capex
Revenue · FY2026
$1.3B
EOD estimate
Free cash flow · FY2026
$238M
EOD estimate
EBITDA · FY2026
-$272M
EOD estimate
Capex · FY2026
$45M
EOD estimate
Net income · FY2026
-$349M
EOD estimate

Currency: USD. Revenue/net income/capex/FCF cross-checked against filed XBRL.

Rubrik price, two years (EOD, delayed)
Rubrik price, two years (EOD, delayed)

The record

The next results should preserve the distinction between new demand and migrations. Rubrik’s fiscal 2027 outlook calls for $1.685 billion to $1.693 billion of revenue and $1.880 billion to $1.885 billion of subscription ARR. Adjusted new cloud ARR, customer expansion and the contribution from new identity products will help explain progress against that outlook. Product launches become stronger evidence when customers expand paid use after deployment.

Customer depth already supplies a useful test. At July 31, Rubrik had 3,084 customers generating at least $100,000 in subscription ARR, up 23% from a year earlier. Its investor record reports average subscription net retention above 119%. That measure includes expansion and contraction among existing customers, averaged across four quarters. It supports the case for broader use, but it does not isolate Agent Cloud or identity security. Separate paid-product measures would make the new scope easier to assess.

Cash generation and share growth need to move together. Second-quarter free cash flow reached $65.7 million, while stock compensation was $101.0 million. Basic weighted shares rose about 5.8% from the prior year. The July 10-Q also reports convertible debt alongside cash and investments. Watch whether rising subscriptions fund product development with less dilution, and whether the forecast $323 million to $333 million of annual free cash flow arrives with that improvement.

Rubrik coverage volume and quarter-end price, by quarter.
Quarter Articles QoQ Q-end price QoQ The record reads
2020Q3 1 — — — first quarter on record
2020Q4 1 +0% — — attention held
2023Q3 3 +200% — — attention rose
2023Q4 1 -67% — — attention cooled
2024Q1 1 +0% — — attention held
2024Q2 6 +500% — — attention rose
2025Q2 1 -83% 89.59 USD — attention cooled
2026Q3 1 +0% 114.47 USD +27.8% price rose, attention steady
SRC Coverage 8 records
  1. TechCrunch Empirik, which uses AI to predict and prevent IT outages by analyzing system changes and their effects, raised a $21M seed and spins out from Sequoia Capital rec #1256143
  2. Reuters US cybersecurity and data resilience company Rubrik plans to invest $500M+ in the UK over the next five years and establish its European headquarters in London rec #1172310
  3. CNBC Data management software vendor Rubrik agrees to acquire Predibase, which helps with deploying AI models; a source says Rubrik intends to pay $100M to $500M rec #887217
  4. Bloomberg Rubrik reports Q1 revenue up 38% YoY to $187.3M, above $171.5M est., and ARR up 46% YoY to $856.1M, in the cybersecurity company's inaugural post-IPO earnings rec #867265
  5. CNBC Cloud data management startup Rubrik closes up 16% at $37 per share in its NYSE debut, after raising $752M at a $5.6B valuation rec #1155627
  6. CNBC Cloud data management startup Rubrik priced its NYSE IPO at $32 per share, above its expected $28 to $31 range, raising $752M and valuing the company at $5.6B rec #863708
  7. Reuters Source: cloud data management startup Rubrik plans to sell 23M shares priced between $28 and $31 each, raising up to $713M and reaching a $5.4B valuation rec #863043
  8. Bloomberg Cloud data management startup Rubrik files for a NYSE IPO under the symbol RBRK, reporting a net loss of $354M on revenue of $628M for the year ended January 31 rec #1155707
VOX Voices · $RBRK 14 captured
  1. Re: Rubrik S-1 + NPS of 86 So, so high... I needed to verify. Context: for @CloudRatings quadrants, we incorporate vendor-supplied NPS (via an RFI) into a data model. A % of vendors give something like a CSAT score (i.e., not true NPS where you subtract detractors). Part of... [i…

  2. Kevin Durant poised to get his first win in a while Rubrik files to go public https://www.cnbc.com/...

  3. Rubrik dropped their S-1 today. Some notes: • $627M in revenue which grew 4% y/y as co moves away from perpetual licenses • $785M in subscription ARR growing 47% y/y • 133% net dollar retention • 77% gross margins but -50% operating margins because of huge S&M spend • >6k...

  4. Folks, we have an S-1 sighting! Cybersecurity company Rubrik has filed to go public. https://www.sec.gov/... Are we, dare I say, back?

  5. Rubrik will be just the 2nd enterprise software company to go public in over 2 years

  6. Holy Cow Rubrik * $784m ARR * 47% Growth * 130% NRR * 99 $1m+ Customers * 86 NPS * Almost FCF positive PRETTY GOOD

  7. Rubrik S-1 is Here!! Some juicy high level metrics 👀 https://www.sec.gov/... [image]

  8. Excited for @bipulsinha and the entire team at @rubrikInc! We just had the CEO of Rubrik, Bipul Sinha on the @0to1podcast a few weeks ago talking about the origins of the company and the key lessons learned in building the juggernaut data security company. Listen to our...

their words, verbatim — inclusion is not endorsement method ↗

Sources

  • Rubrik Q2 fiscal 2027 results — Rubrik, August 27, 2026 → original release.
  • Form 10-Q, quarter ended July 31, 2026 — Rubrik → SEC filing.
  • Introducing Rubrik Agent Cloud — Rubrik, February 18, 2026 → original GA note.
  • Rubrik unveils Agent Identity — Rubrik, August 4, 2026 → original product release.
  • Rubrik IPO filing — Bloomberg, April 1, 2024; corpus April 2–3 → original report, TEXXR April 2, TEXXR April 3.
  • Rubrik’s first post-IPO results — Bloomberg, June 11, 2024; corpus June 12 → original report, TEXXR.
  • Rubrik agrees to buy Predibase — CNBC, June 25, 2025 → original report, TEXXR.
  • Rubrik’s UK investment and London headquarters — Reuters, July 9, 2026 → original report, TEXXR.
  • Rubrik investor overview — Rubrik, July 31, 2026 metric date → primary metrics.
  • TEXXR entity and edge pulls, October 22, 2026: Rubrik 30 edges/22 first-seen dates; CoreWeave 291 total edges, including one undated, across 103 distinct first-seen dates. Counts refer to returned graph rows, before story deduplication.