deadrisk

Stock category · Capital — who pays, and who lends

Who is actually paying for it

The demand side. Their capex guidance is every other basket's revenue.

8 names equal, daily rebalanced
AMZN Amazon no dossier yet
235.50 USD 30d -1.2% 1y +2.3% FY2025 rev $716.9B

Amazon is one of 8 names here because it lives by the same constraint — capital. What follows is the category, not the company.

Not an investment product and not a track record — methodology. Members were chosen on 2026-07-19; names that had already failed are absent by construction, so the pre-2026-07-19 stretch overstates the category.
Independent bets
2.2
of 8 names
Average pairwise correlation
0.38
28 pairs, daily returns
Since defined
-4.0%
equal weight, from 2026-07-19

The names

GOOGL Alphabet Alphabet owns ~14% of Anthropic — the lab it competes with, rents a gigawatt of compute to, and just lost a Nobel laureate to. The record untangles it. 333.66 -6.6% dossier META Meta Meta raised its 2026 spending forecast twice in four months — first past the Street's estimate, then past its own — and investors' patience ran out. 539.03 -4.3% dossier MSFT Microsoft Data-only instrument — no dossier yet. 451.10 +20.9% data AMZN Amazon Data-only instrument — no dossier yet. 235.50 -1.2% data ORCL Oracle Data-only instrument — no dossier yet. 127.56 -13.0% data TSLA Tesla Data-only instrument — no dossier yet. 308.85 -26.6% data CRM Salesforce AI agents don't need seats, and Salesforce built its business selling them by the seat. The coverage record tracks its answer to the threat. 180.71 +15.3% dossier PLTR Palantir Tech's most argued-over stock — the coverage record shows how the argument itself changed shape. 122.26 +4.8% dossier

Change shown is the 30-day move, not the day's.

What the category earns

Growth leads here, and it is the median across members rather than a total — a per-company growth rate does not care what currency the company reports in, so Samsung and Micron count equally. Revenue levels can only be added within one currency, so the totals below cover the members reporting in USD and say how many that is.

Years are labelled by the calendar year each company's fiscal year ends in. Those calendars do not line up — Nvidia's 2026 ended in January — and this does not pretend otherwise.

FY ending Median revenue growth Revenue (USD) Net income (USD)
2021 — — —
2022 — $1195.1B 7 mem $165.4B
2023 +13.8% 6 of 8 $1409.3B 8 mem $239.6B
2024 +12.5% 8 of 8 $1586.0B 8 mem $332.1B
2025 +13.7% 8 of 8 $1797.0B 8 mem $396.2B
2026 +13.5% 2 of 8 $108.9B 2 mem $24.5B

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