Company dossier

Cerebras Systems

Two withdrawn IPO filings and two years later, Cerebras reached Nasdaq — and its two biggest customers are turning into shareholders.

CBRS NASDAQ Chips
Coverage intelligence, not investment advice — the gauge is narrative balance (measured), never a call.
The Trade
short-narrativelong-narrative
narrative balance (measured) · short-narrative leaning
0/3 constructive

The short story Two months of public trading and one earnings print is not the thorough analysis Graham's definition of investment requires.

The AI Capex Supercycle ▲ competitor +43pts
Coverage heat 0.9× on baseline · mark = 1×
30-day tape -40.9% EOD delayed
Next earnings T−12d 2026-11-12
Short cover 1.9d 2026-10-15
This week 2 stories in 7d
Cerebras Systems coverage signal: magenta bars show articles per quarter and the blue line shows share price
Cerebras Systems coverage volume against price. Coverage data from TEXXR; price is EOD and delayed. Data through 2026-10-30.

The argument

The tape · quarterly coverage amplitude · live quarter blinking

G42 supplied 87% of Cerebras’ $136.4 million in first-half-2024 revenue. G42 also committed $335 million to buy shares. The supplied reports do not show that the purchase closed.

The share implies $118.7 million from G42, derived. Cerebras reported a $66.6 million net loss for the same half. The proposed purchase would have given G42 a stake above 5%. Reuters reported a US national-security review of it in March 2025; Cerebras said it resolved “all open issues.”

Cerebras Systems (CBRS, Nasdaq) builds wafer-scale chips for training and running AI models: one large piece of silicon per chip, rather than smaller dies cut from a wafer and wired together. Cerebras priced its IPO at $185 a share on May 13, 2026, above its raised $150–$160 range. The base deal of 30 million shares raised $5.55 billion, derived from that price and share count. Corrected October 27: the second-quarter 10-Q shows the underwriters took 4.5 million more, so 34.5 million shares sold for about $6.2 billion net. By proceeds, it was the largest US tech listing of 2026 and the largest since Uber’s in 2019. Shares opened at $350 and closed their first day at $311.07, up 68% from the IPO price.

Cerebras Systems: coverage volume and how the record frames it
Cerebras Systems: coverage volume and how the record frames it

TEXXR first tagged Cerebras on September 1, 2017. A Forbes profile put its valuation at $860 million before it had shipped a product. A $250 million Series F in November 2021 put Cerebras at $4 billion, versus the 2017 valuation, and brought its cumulative funding to $720 million.

Sources floated an IPO in January 2024. TEXXR still marks that graph edge as rumored, unresolved for over 900 days by August 2026, although Cerebras listed in May. Cerebras filed confidentially in June 2024 and publicly that September. It withdrew that public filing in October 2025 after a $1.1 billion private raise valued it at $8.1 billion, versus $4 billion at the 2021 raise. A $1 billion Series H led by Tiger Global, joined by AMD, valued it at $23 billion in February 2026. Cerebras filed publicly again in April. That second public filing led to the May listing; it was not withdrawn.

Cerebras reported its second quarter on August 12. GAAP revenue was $180.1 million, up 74% from a year earlier and down 6.9% from Q1’s $193.4 million, derived. Reuters noted a $194.2 million analyst estimate. The earnings release put core revenue, the company’s adjusted measure, at $209.9 million against the $194.0 million it guided in June. GAAP gross margin fell to 14.2% from 44.6% in Q1, derived from the 10-Q. Core gross margin was 40.6%, above the 36–38% guide and below Q1’s 47%. Net loss was $450.5 million against $14.0 million in Q1; the 10-Q shows $386.6 million of stock pay in the half and says IPO vesting raised it.

TEXXR counts articles tagged Cerebras in its corpus by calendar quarter. It found one to four per quarter from 2023 through most of 2025, then 18 in Q1 2026 and 23 in Q2. Completed Q3 brought eight, near the eight-quarter average of 7.7. These count coverage, not deployments.

Added October 27: all eight Q3 articles ran by August 19. By text search, TEXXR then logged none naming Cerebras for 68 days, to October 26, against eight in the 50 days before. The close fell 49.8% over those 68 days, from $215.69 to $108.37. Our record is silent on why; the reasons below come from filings and outside reporting.

TEXXR changed how it extracts graph edges in 2026Q1. Cerebras’s rose from five to 35; 14 carry a label, six of them a competitor label TEXXR had barely used before, for Cerebras or Nvidia. That mix cannot be set against earlier quarters.

0
TEXXR articles naming Cerebras, 20 August to 26 October 2026
against eight in the 50 days from 1 July to 19 August
The signature: Cerebras Systems coverage volume against price
The signature: Cerebras Systems coverage volume against price

The spectrogram

launch financial partnership regulatory drift 24Q124Q224Q324Q425Q125Q426Q1

Signal decomposition · what the record is made of, by quarter · brightness = share of edges · drift = how far the story moved in meaning

In 2024Q1 the record was 33% launch; by 2026Q1 it is 57% financial. A price chart shows what a name did; the spectrogram shows what its story is made of.

Who tells it · top-3 hold 51%
Bloomberg 19
CNBC 13
Reuters 11
The Information 9
Wall Street Journal 5
Tom's Hardware 3

The brains

Each take is an editorial application of a thinker's published framework — not their actual view, affiliation, or advice. methodology ↗
The powers meter — Helmer's 7 Powers · 0/7 held · dark = not argued in the record
Cornered Resourcecontested wafer-scale silicon clears idiosyncratic and non-replicable tests, and AWS's WSE deployment is a real vote — but G42 (87% of 1H2024 revenue) and OpenAI both hold equity in Cerebras, close to the 'price captures the rents' disqualifier on non-arbitraged

7 Powers · the Helmer lens

An editorial application of Hamilton Helmer's published framework — not their actual view, affiliation, or advice.

The machine

The October 1 version of this page found G42 the only customer tied to equity. The 10-Q now shows three. G42 took warrants for 1.86 million shares in December 2025 and 1.66 million in April, at $0.01 a share, and exercised both. OpenAI holds a warrant for up to 33.4 million shares at $0.00001 each; 10.0 million had vested by June 30, derived, and none was exercised. AWS holds one for up to 2.7 million shares at $100, most of which vest as Amazon pays Cerebras. The October 26 close of $108.37 is 8.4% above that strike. Cerebras books each warrant as a revenue cut: $44.3 million in Q2.

OpenAI is also a lender. It committed to buy 750 megawatts of capacity and lent Cerebras about $1.0 billion in January; Cerebras repays part in service credits, not cash. The filing names no customers. Customer A, tied to Customer D, was 34% of Q2 revenue, against 70% a year earlier; Customer B was 32% and Customer C 10%. OpenAI’s $56.8 million is 31.5% of Q2 revenue, derived; the 10-Q does not say whether it is Customer B. Two customers owed 76% of receivables on June 30.

Ten of the 18 AI-heavy funds in our 13F panel show a Cerebras line in their June 30 holdings, filed August 14 or 17. None showed one in March; the stock first traded May 14. The ten lines total $4.91 billion at the $221.00 June 30 close, derived from the filed share counts. Altimeter’s $1.60 billion was 16.2% of its book. A first line in June reflects the listing, not a purchase; the filings do not say when any fund bought. Atreides also lists a call on 700,000 shares, left out of the total.

AWS said in March 2026 it would deploy Cerebras’ Wafer-Scale Engine for inference alongside its Trainium chips. TEXXR extracted 17 near-identical claims from coverage of that one announcement, not 17 deployments. Mistral partnered with Cerebras in February 2025.

AMD invested in Cerebras, and The Information reported in July that the two are linking AMD racks to Cerebras wafers; no filing names AMD a customer. On October 27 Oracle said it will add Cerebras hardware to its cloud. The coverage we read gives no size or start date.

The OpenAI tie came under dispute in late September. SemiAnalysis said on X that OpenAI’s Ultrafast tier runs on Nvidia GPUs, not Cerebras; it later wrote that Cerebras is sold out and its chips at OpenAI serve Ultrafast to other customers. On October 2 Sam Altman called Cerebras a “close partner,” Yahoo Finance reported. That report cites no statement from Cerebras. TEXXR’s graph still holds the August edge saying Cerebras powers Ultrafast, and had logged no Cerebras edge after August 14 as of October 27. In the broader AI capex story, the filing now discloses the revenue mix but still not utilization.

Key counterparties — top by shared coverage
AI 12Cerebras Systems Inc. 12Nvidia 11OpenAI 10CBRS 9IPO 8G42 7AMD 5Benchmark 5
Key products
GPT-5.6ChatGPTF-1AMD Helios
Cerebras Systems launch · via Cerebras Systems CS-4
Cerebras unveils the CS-4 server rack, built on Nexus architecture with three WSE-3 Turbo chips, with shipments beginning in Q3 2026.
confirmed #412058
OpenAI, Cerebras partnership Ultrafast
OpenAI's Ultrafast API tier is powered by Cerebras.
confirmed #411561
OpenAI, Cerebras partnership Ultrafast
OpenAI's Ultrafast API tier is powered by Cerebras.
confirmed #411457
Cerebras Systems financial · via Cerebras Systems Q2 revenue
Cerebras reports Q2 revenue of $180M, up 74% year over year but below the $194.23M estimate.
confirmed #411380
Cerebras Systems financial · via Cerebras Systems annual revenue forecast, gross margin forecast
Cerebras raises its annual revenue and gross margin forecasts amid strong chip demand.
confirmed #411381
Cerebras Systems financial · via Cerebras Systems CBRS shares
Cerebras shares fall more than 14% in after-hours trading.
confirmed #411315
Cerebras Systems financial · via Cerebras Systems Q2 revenue
Cerebras reports Q2 revenue of $180M, up 74% year over year.
confirmed #411313
Cerebras Systems financial · via Cerebras Systems annual revenue forecast, gross margin forecast
Cerebras raises its annual revenue and gross margin forecasts amid strong chip demand.
confirmed #411314
AMD, Cerebras partnership AMD server racks, Cerebras wafers
AMD and Cerebras are integrating AMD server racks with Cerebras wafers to run chips simultaneously and accelerate workloads.
confirmed #408847
Cerebras financial CBRS shares
Cerebras shares closed up 4.86%.
confirmed #408848
AMD, Cerebras partnership AMD Helios, Cerebras wafer-scale chips
AMD and Cerebras are collaborating to connect AMD Helios server racks with Cerebras wafer-scale chips for AI inference.
confirmed #408771
Beacon Security partnership Cerebras
Beacon Security says it has "tens" of large enterprise customers, including Cerebras.
confirmed #407802

The money

Cerebras Systems fundamentals: revenue, free cash flow, EBITDA, capex
Cerebras Systems fundamentals: revenue, free cash flow, EBITDA, capex

Currency: USD. Revenue/net income/capex/FCF cross-checked against filed XBRL.

Cerebras Systems price, two years (EOD, delayed)
Cerebras Systems price, two years (EOD, delayed)

Positioning: how much of CBRS is sold short, on the record brokers file twice a month. It lags by design — read it as where the crowd stood, not where it stands.

Shares short
19.9M +90.5%
FINRA via Massive, settled 2026-10-15 · 3-month change
Days to cover
1.9
at 10.6M average daily volume
Against its own record
at the high
most shorted in 11 readings on file
Panel holders · 13F, quarter ended 30 Jun 2026

10 of the 18 AI-heavy funds in our 13F panel reported a long position in Cerebras Systems at 30 Jun 2026, against 0 of 18 at 31 Mar 2026. By share count: 10 listed. A line in a company that listed during the quarter is a listing, not a new position.

Panel funds holding Cerebras Systems at 30 Jun 2026, from Form 13F-HR filings, and the change in shares since 31 Mar 2026.
Fund Value, 30 Jun 2026 Shares Since 31 Mar 2026 Options (underlying)
Altimeter Capital Management, LP $1.60bn 7.23m listed in the quarter
Coatue Management LLC $1.55bn 7.01m listed in the quarter
Atreides Management, LP $687m 3.11m listed in the quarter calls on $155m
Tiger Global Management LLC $663m 3.00m listed in the quarter
Value Aligned Research Advisors, LLC filed 17 Aug 2026 $242m 1.09m listed in the quarter
Dragoneer Investment Group, LLC $88m 400,000 listed in the quarter
D1 Capital Partners L.P. $33m 150,000 listed in the quarter
Greenoaks LLC $33m 150,000 listed in the quarter
Whale Rock Capital Management LLC $11m 50,696 listed in the quarter
Situational Awareness LP $2.2m 10,000 listed in the quarter

From each fund's Form 13F-HR. A 13F shows holdings at quarter-end, filed up to 45 days later (17 of the 18 books on 14 Aug 2026, the rest as dated), not trades: a change compares share counts on two dates and says nothing about when or at what price shares moved. Values are as filed at quarter-end. Option rows give the value of the underlying shares, not the premium paid. Ordinary short positions do not appear in a 13F. The panel is a fixed list of funds, not a ranking; the 13Fs of NVIDIA and Alphabet are left out as corporate stakes.

The record

Changes on October 27: the margin and ownership questions are answered (Narrative Arc, Graph); the earnings date moved from November 10 to November 12; the price item is rewritten.

  • The unlock, November 9. The prospectus staged releases of up to 19.4 million shares each on September 30, October 14 and October 28. All remaining shares go free at the earlier of two trading days after the Q3 report or 180 days after the May 13 prospectus. Cerebras set the report for November 12, after the close, so the 180-day date governs: November 9, derived. The 10-Q estimates up to 171.1 million shares freed in the period, of 237.6 million outstanding on August 5, derived. EDGAR lists no Form 144 after September 29 and no Form 4 after October 7.
  • Q3 report, November 12. Guidance is core revenue of $214–216 million and core gross margin of 38–40%, after $209.9 million and 40.6% in Q2; the full-year margin guide rose to 41–43%. Compare GAAP margin too: 14.2% in Q2.
  • Customer mix and warrants. Look in the next 10-Q for Customer A, B and C shares, OpenAI warrant tranches vested beyond 10.0 million, and whether AWS’s lease began; it had not by June 30.
  • Cash conversion. In the half, operating cash flow was negative $47.5 million and equipment purchases were $548.9 million; financing brought in $7.85 billion, mostly the IPO. Watch whether capex keeps outrunning cash from sales.
  • Who serves Ultrafast. Neither OpenAI nor Cerebras has said which chips run the tier; the claim stays SemiAnalysis’s.
  • Price against the listing. On September 30 the close was $177.65. On October 26 it was $108.37, the lowest close since the May 14 listing: 41.4% below the $185 offer and 65.2% below the first-day close, derived.
Cerebras Systems coverage volume and quarter-end price, by quarter.
Quarter Articles QoQ Q-end price QoQ The record reads
2024Q4 2 — — — first quarter on record
2025Q1 4 +100% — — attention rose
2025Q3 2 -50% — — attention cooled
2025Q4 4 +100% — — attention rose
2026Q1 18 +350% — — attention rose
2026Q2 23 +28% 221.00 USD — attention rose
2026Q3 8 -65% 177.65 USD -19.6% attention and price fell together
2026Q4 open 6 -25% 115.16 USD -35.2% attention and price fell together (quarter in progress)
SRC Coverage 8 records
  1. CNBC Oracle adds ChatGPT and Codex to its app stack and expands Oracle Cloud Infrastructure lineup with Google TPUs, OpenAI's Jalapeño chip, and Cerebras hardware rec #1297933
  2. CNBC Oracle adds ChatGPT and Codex to its app stack and expands Oracle Cloud Infrastructure lineup with Google TPUs, OpenAI's Jalapeño chip, and Cerebras hardware rec #1297893
  3. Reuters Cerebras unveils CS-4, a server rack with 50% fewer components built on its new Nexus architecture and powered by three WSE-3 Turbo chips, available in Q3 2026 rec #1175220
  4. 9to5Mac OpenAI previews Ultrafast, an API tier powered by Cerebras that runs GPT-5.6 Sol up to 14× faster and generates up to 750 output tokens per second rec #1174954
  5. Reuters AI chip designer Cerebras reports Q2 revenue up 74% YoY to $180M, below $194.23M est., and raises its annual revenue and gross margin forecasts; CBRS drops 10%+ rec #1174874
  6. 9to5Mac OpenAI previews Ultrafast, an API tier powered by Cerebras that runs GPT-5.6 Sol up to 14× faster and generates up to 750 output tokens per second rec #1174937
  7. Reuters Cerebras reports Q2 revenue up 74% YoY to $180M and raises its annual revenue and gross margin forecasts; CBRS drops 14%+ after hours rec #1174859
  8. The Information AMD is working with Cerebras to connect AMD's server racks to Cerebras wafers, running their chips simultaneously to make workloads faster; CBRS closed up 4.86% rec #1173600
VOX Voices · $CBRS 14 captured
  1. google just rented out its crown jewel. oracle is the first hyperscaler outside google to sell tpu capacity, starting cy2027, and tpu 8t runs ~3x the compute per pod of the prior gen. that's the merchant silicon leg to watch when goog prints tomorrow. $GOOG $ORCL

  2. Significant step in externalizing the TPU business for $GOOG - $ORCL announces Google TPUs to be available through Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) - Marks the first time Google TPUs will be offered on a hyperscale cloud platform outside Google. - Google TPUs on OCI will be avai…

  3. Google and Oracle are partnering to bring Google TPUs to Oracle Cloud Infrastructure |  Google Cloud Blog

  4. Cerebras' first public quarter validates demand and backlog conversion, but the stock will now trade more on whether 750MW of OpenAI/AWS-style deployment can convert into durable gross margin and operating leverage. All viable compute will be used. $CBRS

  5. Cerebras reports 92% revenue growth in chipmaker's first earnings report since IPO

  6. Cerebras down another 6% after the overhyped re-hashed prior chip product event and yesterday's 13% stock drop. Great job everyone.

  7. Cerebras is talking about 10T models running at 1000 tokens/s

  8. Sadly I couldn't make it to the Cerebras event today b/c I was having fun with my friends. But this is what I gather... The new WSE-3T is on the same N5 node and same wafer size but doubled compute to 250 PF & doubled memory bandwidth to 43.2 PB/s which to me would mean a 2x

their words, verbatim — inclusion is not endorsement method ↗

The peers

Cerebras Systems lives or dies by the same constraint as these names — small equal-weighted groups, one constraint each. Not investment products: see all categories.

The silicon everyone else is buying — the compute constraint, 1.8 independent bets across 6 names

Sources

SRCSources22 records
  1. ForbesProfile of Cerebras Systems, a little known Los Altos-based maker of AI-specific chips, which sources say focus on AI training, that has raised $112Mrec #921882
  2. ReutersThe Mayo Clinic partners with Cerebras to use Cerebras' computing chips and systems to develop its own AI models based on anonymized medical records and datarec #848110
  3. The InformationSource: AI chipmaker Cerebras confidentially filed for a US IPO; filing: in early June, it authorized new shares at a steep discount to its 2021 funding roundrec #867971
  4. CNBCAI chip startup Cerebras Systems files for a US IPO, with plans to trade on the Nasdaq as CBRS, and reports a $66.6M net loss on $136.4M in sales in H1 2024rec #876386
  5. New York TimesFiling: UAE-based G42 accounted for 87% of Cerebras' H1 2024 revenue and has committed to buy $335M worth of its stock by April 2025, giving G42 a 5%+ stakerec #876387
  6. ReutersSources: AI chipmaker Cerebras' IPO, in limbo for months, has been delayed while Trump fills key roles and CFIUS reviews Abu Dhabi-based G42's $335M investmentrec #883879
  7. BloombergCerebras says it has resolved “all open issues” with the CFIUS, as it prepares for an IPO; the AI startup filed a notice about its ties to Abu Dhabi's G42rec #884091
  8. ReutersMistral partnered with Cerebras to help its Le Chat app respond to user questions at 1,000 words per second, making Le Chat the world's fastest AI assistantrec #882205
  9. CNBCChipmaker Cerebras withdraws its IPO, after filing its prospectus on September 30, 2024, and announcing a $1.1B raise at a $8.1B valuation on September 30, 2025rec #890972
  10. BloombergAI chipmaker Cerebras raised a ~$1B Series H led by Tiger Global at a $23B valuation, up from $8.1B in September 2025; Benchmark, Fidelity, and AMD invested toorec #1162792
  11. Wall Street JournalAWS plans to deploy Cerebras' Wafer-Scale Engine chip for AI inference functions; AWS will still offer slower, cheaper computing using its Trainium processorsrec #1165229
  12. CNBCCerebras files to go public on Nasdaq and reports $510M in 2025 revenue, up 76% YoY, with a net income of $87.9M, up from a $485M net loss in 2024rec #1167251
  13. ReutersSources: Cerebras plans to raise its IPO price range from $115 to $125 per share to $150 to $160 per share, potentially raising ~$4.8B at the top of the rangerec #1168672
  14. CNBCCerebras prices its IPO at $185 per share, above the expected range of $150 to $160 per share, raising $5.55B and valuing it at $56.4B on a fully diluted basisrec #1168895
  15. CNBCCerebras opens at $350, valuing the chipmaker at $100B+, after raising $5.5B by selling 30M shares at $185, the largest US tech IPO since Uber's debut in 2019rec #1168954
  16. BloombergCerebras shares closed up 68% at $311.07 in the company's Nasdaq debut on May 14 after it raised $5.5B in 2026's largest IPO, giving it a market value of $67Brec #1168967
  17. CNBCCerebras reports Q1 revenue up 94% YoY to $193.4M, net loss down 41% YoY to $14M, and forecasts its core gross margin will shrink in Q2; CBRS drops 10%+rec #1171438
  18. AxiosBeacon Security, which offers an agentic security platform, raised a $13M seed and says it has “tens” of large enterprise customers including Cerebrasrec #1173090
  19. The InformationAMD is working with Cerebras to connect AMD's server racks to Cerebras wafers, running their chips simultaneously to make workloads faster; CBRS closed up 4.86%rec #1173600
  20. ReutersAI chip designer Cerebras reports Q2 revenue up 74% YoY to $180M, below $194.23M est., and raises its annual revenue and gross margin forecasts; CBRS drops 10%+rec #1174874
  21. 9to5MacOpenAI previews Ultrafast, an API tier powered by Cerebras that runs GPT-5.6 Sol up to 14× faster and generates up to 750 output tokens per secondrec #1174954
  22. CNBCOracle adds ChatGPT and Codex to its app stack and expands Oracle Cloud Infrastructure lineup with Google TPUs, OpenAI's Jalapeño chip, and Cerebras hardwarerec #1297893

Edges (TEXXR knowledge graph): 96495, 303933, 14377, 66583, 67109, 95772, 399825, 233897, 283608, 92782, 390992, 404217, 404219, 52033, 408771, 408847, 411457, 411561